BUILDING THE
REAL-TIME
ECONOMIC STATE LAYER.
WORLDWIDE.

MacroX generates a real-time representation of the global economic state for investors, institutions, and AI-native workflows.

Our engine transforms high-frequency alternative data via an ontology grounded in economic theory, making it interpretable by design and scalable across geographies.

Which Foundational Question?

1. Measurement
What is services inflation actually doing?
2. Prediction
What will official Services CPI be next week?
3. Markets
How will the 10Y move on the release?

MacroX believes: Improve measurement first; better predictions and market decisions naturally follow.

View Research
MacroX workflows and integrations

Hedge Funds

Global MacroSystematicMulti-Strategy

Asset Managers

ActiveMulti-AssetFixed Income

Pensions & OCIOs

InstitutionalAllocators

Corporates

PolicyTreasuryStrategy

Our Philosophy

THE THREE FOUNDATIONAL QUESTIONS
OF REAL-TIME MACRO

MacroX believes: Improve measurement first; better predictions and market decisions naturally follow.

1
MEASUREMENT

What is Services Inflation Actually Doing?

NATURE: STRUCTURAL

Measure previously latent drivers of service inflation like wage pressure and deeply understand their interaction with noisy prices in real-time. Interpretable by design and scalable across geographies and economic regimes.

20182022Now
2
PREDICTION

What Will Official Services CPI Print Next Week?

NATURE: FITTED

Official CPI is a noisy target derived from many noisy inputs. Predictive models can be effective, but are often difficult to interpret or generalize.

2022NowNext Wk
3
MARKETS

How Will the 10Y Bond Move on the Services CPI Release?

NATURE: NOISY

Asset returns exhibit substantially higher variance than macro variables, as many factors influence outcomes beyond the underlying economic state.

-5mRelease+5m

MACROX BELIEVES: IMPROVE MEASUREMENT FIRST.

We believe that stable state estimation naturally creates a robust foundation for better prediction, interpretation, and superior investment outcomes.

Measurement
Interpretation
Strategy
Outcomes
Interactive Case Study: Services Inflation
Concrete example · Services inflation

Services inflation reflects wage pressure —
but that's hard to observe

MacroX directly measures the latent driver. Click through to see why it matters.

click to advance →
1 / 7
Why This Matters

Detecting true momentum shifts early gives institutions a critical edge in positioning, risk management, and policy interpretation.

Act Earlier
Capture opportunities before the market.
Manage Risk Better
Prepare for turning points before they're obvious.
Interpret with Confidence
See the economy clearly, beyond the noise.
Outperform
Better decisions lead to better outcomes.
Live Track Record

PROVEN IN REAL TIME.

LIVE SINCE 2023.

MacroX has anticipated key economic momentum shifts ahead of official releases — consistently. 27 calls across US, UK and EU.

MacroX Real-Time Econ State Anticipates Citi-Econ Surprises by 1–3 Months
Results control for the auto-regression and are significant for the US, UK, and other countries
EUR Citi Surprise Variance Explanation over Horizon
(above AR)
Rsq Lift vs. AR
T-stat
MacroX T-stat (after AR) — Right Axis
MacroX Rsq. Lift vs. AR — Left Axis

MacroX real-time economic state explains significantly more Citi surprise variance than the auto-regressive benchmark, peaking at T-stat of 7.2 two months ahead.

Source: Citi Economic Surprise Index, MacroX Economic State

MacroX Calls
Official Data Release
2023
Jul 23, 2023🇺🇸
MacroX Nowcasts Show No Recession
Anticipating Momentum Shifts
Jul 23, 2023
Nov 15, 2023
Nov 15, 2023🇺🇸
The Elusive Soft Landing Is Coming Into View
Govt. Data ReleaseWSJ
2024
May 9, 2024🇺🇸
MacroX Inflation Drivers show CPI Declining
Anticipating Momentum Shifts
May 9, 2024
Jun 12, 2024
Jun 12, 2024🇺🇸
May CPI Report: Inflation Cooler Than Expected
Govt. Data ReleaseWSJ
Jul 11, 2024
Jul 11, 2024🇺🇸
Tame US June CPI smoothes path for Fed ease
Govt. Data ReleaseReuters
Aug 2, 2024🇺🇸
Jobless Claims is Head Fake
Official Data Noise
Aug 2, 2024
Aug 2, 2024🇺🇸
100 bps+ cuts priced is excessive
Anticipate CB Proj
Aug 2, 2024
Aug 8, 2024
Aug 8, 2024🇺🇸
Low US weekly IJC & upbeat retail sales dispel recession fears
Govt. Data ReleaseReuters
Oct 4, 2024
Oct 4, 2024🇺🇸
Sep jobs rebound slashes odds of another aggressive Fed cut
Govt. Data ReleaseBarron's
Dec 2024
Dec 2024🇺🇸
Fed cuts 25 bps, totaling 100bps this year
Govt. Data ReleaseFed
2025
Jan/Feb 2025🇬🇧
Continued disinflation will allow BOE to cut more than priced
Anticipate CB Proj
Jan/Feb 2025
Feb 20, 2025🇺🇸
IJC likely to spike due to DOGE
Anticipating Momentum Shifts
Feb 20, 2025
Feb 27, 2025
Feb 27, 2025🇺🇸
Jobless claims spike, in worrisome sign for US labor market
Govt. Data ReleaseCNN
Apr 30, 2025🇺🇸
MacroX: Economic Activity Higher and Inflation Lower than Expected
Anticipating Momentum Shifts
Apr 30, 2025
May 2025🇪🇺
MacroX Nowcasts show Growth Better than Expected
Anticipating Momentum Shifts
May 2025
Jun 2025🇺🇸
Q3 Growth is better than Fed expects
Anticipate CB Proj
Jun 2025
Jun-Sep 2025
Jun-Sep 2025🇪🇺
ECB raised Growth projections in June and Sept
Govt. Data ReleaseECB
Jul 30, 2025
Jul 30, 2025🇺🇸
Rebound in US growth in Q2 masks underlying slowing trend
Govt. Data ReleaseReuters
Sep 4, 2025🇺🇸
Q4: Market Pricing of ~100% chance of Dec cut is aggressive
Anticipate CB Proj
Sep 4, 2025
Sep 17, 2025
Sep 17, 2025🇺🇸
Sep 2025 FOMC - Fed Updates Growth Projection
Govt. Data ReleaseFed
Sep 2025🇬🇧
BOE will be able to cut 25bps more in Dec
Anticipate CB Proj
Sep 2025
Oct 29, 2025
Oct 29, 2025🇺🇸
Powell pushed back against current market pricing
Govt. Data ReleaseFed
Nov 2025
Nov 2025🇬🇧
BOE have cut 75bps as of Nov
Govt. Data ReleaseBOE
Dec 2025
Dec 2025🇬🇧
BOE cuts 25bps in Dec
Govt. Data ReleaseBOE
2026
Q4 2025🇺🇸
Q4 Growth is less than GDPNow and Consensus
Anticipating Momentum Shifts
Q4 2025
Q4 2025
Q4 2025🇺🇸
US Q4 2025 GDP
Govt. Data ReleaseFed
Q4 2025🇬🇧
Q4 2025 UK GDP
Anticipating Momentum Shifts
Q4 2025
Anticipating Momentum Shifts
Anticipate CB Proj
Official Data Noise
Govt. Data Release
Prediction → Outcome
System Architecture

THE MACROX APPROACH.

FROM SIGNALS TO STATE.

A layered architecture that transforms fragmented, high-frequency signals into a real-time, interpretable view of the economy.

MacroX approach: from fragmented signals to real-time economic state
Built For Better Decisions
The economic state layer institutions trust across every horizon.
Real-time
Forward-looking signal
Standardized
Globally consistent
Interpretable
Transparent by design
Cross-Geography
Consistent everywhere
Scalable
Continuously evolving
Institutional Workflows

Trusted across institutional investment workflows.

MacroX is used by sophisticated investors to understand economic state in real time and gain an information advantage.

Hedge Funds

Global MacroSystematicMulti-Strategy

Asset Managers

ActiveMulti-AssetFixed Income

Pensions & OCIOs

InstitutionalAllocators

Corporates

PolicyTreasuryStrategy

What Institutions Are Saying

MacroX clearly has a 2-month lead over government data. And it is interpretable.

Rates Trader,
Multi-Manager Hedge Fund

You should be wearing “Told You” T-shirts.

Partner,
Large Asset Management Firm

MacroX’s US growth nowcast was the single most important piece of data for asset prices in the recent environment with high stagflation potential. MacroX had the tools to empirically diagnose resilient growth.

Co-CIO,
Asset Management Firm, PhD Macroeconomics

I really like MacroX emphasizing measurement. We can overfit the trading models ourselves!

Head of Research,
Quantitative Hedge Fund

Real-time measurement. Interpretable economic state. Better decisions.

Expanding the Economic State Layer

Extending State Measurement to Housing

Housing is one of the most important drivers of the business cycle. MacroX is extending its state measurement framework to provide a real-time view of housing markets.

Same Measurement Framework

Built on the same ontology, methodology, and real-time data architecture that powers our core macro states.

Real-Time Housing State

Track conditions, momentum, and turning points across key housing market dimensions.

Actionable Interpretation

From state to narrative: clear, timely insights for better investment decisions.

Housing Beta Access Coming in Q3 2026
Partner with MacroX

Request Platform Access

Explore MacroX through a personalized walkthrough and live platform demo.

Strategic Partnerships

Partner with us to co-develop solutions and bring real-time economic intelligence to your ecosystem.

API Access

Integrate real-time economic state data and driver measurements into your systems via our powerful APIs.

Research Collaboration

Work with our research team to advance economic measurement and uncover new insights together.

Contact Us

Have a question or want to learn more about MacroX? We'd love to hear from you.

Better Measurement. Better Understanding. Better Decisions.

MacroX is building the foundational economic state layer for the modern world.

The future of macro intelligence starts here.